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WiMAX Forum predicts 19 million India subscribers by 2012

Availability of spectrum, affordable products and government support cited as primary reasons for success.

The WiMAX Forum has issued several predictions for the Indian WiMAX market.  The combined equipment and service revenues are projected to be worth $13 billion in 2012 and capture 19 million WiMAX subscribers, or 20% of the world's WiMAX user base.  The industry trade group cited the commercial availability of WiMAX technologies, affordable device price-points and government support for additional spectrum auctions as proof-points for the forecasts.

Broad availability of affordable mobile technology in India will have a tremendous positive effect on the nation's economy.  "India currently has only 4.5 million broadband users out of a population of 1.2 billion people," said Ron Resnick, president and chairman of WiMAX Forum.  According to Indian government figures provided by the trade group, the Indian economy is currently growing at 9% year-over-year.  The country is witnessing 8~10 million additional mobile phone subscribers every month.  The WiMAX group predicts that widespread access to broadband will greatly increase economic productivity by laying the groundwork for important initiatives, such as distance learning, telemedicine and e-government.

In support of India's potential, WiMAX Forum is in the early stages of planning a WiMAX Applications Lab at the Indian Institute of Technology Delhi.  The lab follows existing partnerships in Taiwan and the United States.  Application labs provide content developers a sandbox to trial service and distribution concepts on a WiMAX network before adoption on operational carrier networks.

Serious work remains to see WiMAX or any mobile broadband technology succeed at connecting the citizens of India.  What is the monthly ARPU (average revenue per user) that establishes a sustainable service provider? How cheap must devices be to make them accessible and functional? Are there applications and services that compel the mainstream population to adopt? More time is needed to answer these questions and understand how subscribers shift consumption of information from neighborhood Internet cafes to personal mobile solutions.

By Jeff Orr, ORR Technology, LLC

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Wednesday, October 15, 2008 in Business  | Permalink |  Comments (5)

Doubtful

Posted by dhirajpatiL@ieee.org at 2008-10-15 05:37 PM
I really doubt that India will hit 19 millions customer base by 2012 as it is a very conservative data market. Pricing has to be very competative to be afforded by middle class people then it could be a success.

wimax network

Posted by shanmugam.kg at 2008-10-16 09:00 AM
time and cost are only factors ?

WiMAX Growth in India will hinge on Mobile WiMAX

Posted by Amitabh Kumar at 2008-10-16 08:59 AM
When the WiMAX World Forum meeting In New delhi on Oct 14 predicted 22 millin users in India by 2012 they have in no way overestimated the potential of this market. In fact they have hit the nail on the head by basing it on the Mobile user growth of 8-9 million a month and the miniscule number of broadband ubscribers at 4.5 million. The fact remains that mobility is the key to usage of services today. The fact that Mobile WiMAX provides much superior broadband usgae capability than mobile networks is well known today. However it is the enabling factors such as Spectrum and Licensing for Mobile WiMAX which hold the key as brought out by the WiMAX forum.

The fact remains that if WiMAX technology is to break out of its eggshell, it will need to focus on two things: first the development of new generation mobile applications and second the integration with existing Mobile networks as over 300 million users in India alone can not be wished away. Towards this objective the application development Lab which is planned may hold the key.

http://www.wimax-home.com


Possible

Posted by kaiser at 2008-10-16 09:00 AM
I believe the prediction has tremendous potential. recent development of WiMAX will enhance the probavility of the prediction.

Cost

Posted by Asit at 2008-10-22 09:51 AM
I agree that WiMax has great potential but the ground reality in India is that the lower the cost more people can take it..
I believe that just as the cellular companies in India are providing the lowest call rates, similarly the WiMax operators will have to provide the lowest cost/MB to survive..
The one thing that Wimax will have over the existing broadband connection is that it will be easy to install.. specially in the areas where the customer has to wait for the cable guy to come and lay the cable for the internet connection...



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