WiMAX Network Economics
Author: Alan Solheim
VP Product Management, Dragonwave, Inc.
May 23rd, 2007
Most of the discussion about WiMAX technology and economics has been centered
around the radio access network (RAN) and customer premise equipment (CPE)/handsets.
For services to be deployed profitably, however, the economics of the entire
network, including backhaul infrastructure, and installation and leasing costs,
must be considered. In this larger view, it quickly becomes clear that the RAN
is only a portion of the overall picture and costs.
The total deployed base station cost is made up of equipment and installation
costs and the net present value (NPV) of the ongoing sector antenna lease and
maintenance costs. As the cost of base station hardware is reduced by technology
development and increasing production volumes, the deployed cost becomes more
and more dependant on the latter two costs. A view of the relative contribution
of these costs over time is shown in the figure below using a five-year NPV
calculation of recurring costs.

Backhaul costs are dependant upon the technology chosen as well as network
architecture. The backhaul bandwidth that must be provisioned per WiMAX base
station will grow from a few Mbps initially to up to more than 100 Mbps when new
services are widely adopted. This bandwidth requirement will be further
increased by 20% to 100% by the type of network redundancy employed (ring/mesh
or 1+1). In order to provide a balance between scalability and
reliability, multi-tier network architectures with access links connected to
aggregation hubs are typically employed in such network architectures. The
technology choice in the first tier of backhaul is driven by the average
bandwidth per base station. The technology choice in the aggregation layer is
driven by network topology and number of end sites per aggregation hubs.
Initially, it may be possible to use in-band backhaul when bandwidth per base
station is low. The requirement to deliver services to the end user will quickly
drive up the bandwidth needed per base station and mean that any spectrum
allocated to an in-band backhaul solution will need to be recovered for the RAN.
Another way to say this is that WiMAX spectrum is too valuable to use for
backhaul and must be reserved for providing service to the end user and driving
revenue onto the network.
T1/E1 leased circuits are a simple option but are not - able to scale to the
required bandwidth at a cost point that is competitive. Lease costs in North
America are $200 to $400 per T1 per month and $1500 to $3000 per DS3 per month.
When this is added to the equipment cost required to convert the IP interfaces
of WiMAX base stations to the TDM format it becomes clear that, at any base
station capacity above a few Mbps, - this is not a viable option.
Providers who choose these alternatives initially will have to pay the price of
churning their networks to install the alternatives required to deliver
increased bandwidth. Given that the installation/reconfiguration cost is a
significant portion of any deployment, as is seen from the base station total
costs above, it is very often more economical to deploy a scalable backhaul
solution even if the day one price is slightly higher.
Other solutions for backhaul that can deliver the required bandwidth are
point-to-point microwave and fiber-based Ethernet. The advantage of
fiber-based Ethernet is that the bandwidth is effectively unlimited. The
bandwidth that can be sourced by a single base station is strictly limited by
the amount of access spectrum available and is typically less than 100 Mbps.
Given that the cost to deploy a fiber-based solution is almost independent of
the bandwidth provided, the cost per Mbps is higher at these typical base
station bandwidths. This makes a fiber-based solution better suited to the
aggregation layer of the backhaul network than the first tier.
Microwave solutions also have a fixed upfront cost, however, some solutions such
as DragonWave's
IP-based radios offer flexible bandwidth pricing to mitigate this.
Microwave solutions also have simpler installations - eliminating the need for
trenching fiber laterals, reducing cost and time to deployment. They do not
scale to the same bandwidth as fiber-based solutions, however, it is quite
possible to deliver several hundred Mbps per link using commercially available
systems.
The cost-per-bit versus bandwidth is shown for fiber-based and microwave-based
solutions in the graph below. A five-year NPV calculation has been used to
derive an equivalent lease cost for the microwave link. This includes equipment,
installation, antenna lease and annual maintenance costs. The fiber-based
Ethernet is a market value assumption for a leased Ethernet service and includes
an amortization of $20,000 per site for the fiber lateral build. (i.e. a few
hundred feet - longer laterals can increase this build cost significantly)

As can be seen, the microwave solution is much more cost-effective than the
fiber based solution in the 10 Mbps to 100 Mbps range typical of a single base
station. Both solutions are lower than the range of $150 to $300 per Mbps per
month for leased T1 circuits in North America and much lower than the higher
leased circuit prices typical in most European countries. Thus, microwave is
likely to be the technology used to connect access links to aggregation sites.
Interconnection of aggregation sites will be a combination of microwave and/or
fiber, depending on network size and availability of fiber-based assets.
Given this architecture and technology selection the distribution of total
network spends in a WiMAX network can be determined. This is shown in the figure
below and assumes an average of 100 CPEs per base station in 2006 increasing to
150 CPEs per base station in 2012, with an average cost ranging from $300 in
2006 down to $100 in 2012 Even with an optimized backhaul solution costs are
still comparable with base station costs. This ratio stays -constant over the
period 2006 to 2012 even with the assumed growth of backhaul bandwidth from 10
Mbps to 100 Mbps per base station due to the inherent scalability of the
proposed architecture.

While RAN technology and hardware are clearly essential to the -delivery of
personal broadband services, the profitability of the network is equally driven
by backhaul network architecture and technology choices. It is imperative for
network operators to pay attention to all in order to succeed in WiMAX
deployments.
Alan
Solheim is Vice President of Product Management for DragonWave Networks.

DragonWave Inc. designs, develops, markets and sells carrier-grade microwave
equipment offering high capacity broadband wireless systems for network
operators and service providers worldwide.
http://www.dragonwaveinc.com
